Overview of Honda's Current Situation#

Morgan Stanley has expressed concerns about Honda Motor's stock, predicting it may decline further due to significant losses in the electric vehicle (EV) sector. The investment bank believes that Honda's shares will underperform compared to the broader market index over the next two weeks, assigning a 70% to 80% probability to this outlook.

Financial Losses and Impact on Stock#

Honda recently revealed that its losses related to electric vehicles could reach up to ¥2.5 trillion (approximately $17 billion), which includes around ¥1.7 trillion in cash outflow. This figure is higher than what analysts had anticipated, leading Morgan Stanley to suggest that these losses will likely keep Honda's stock price under pressure in the short term.

Dividend Stability Amid Challenges#

Despite these financial challenges, Honda has announced that it will maintain its dividend at ¥70 per share for fiscal year 2026. The company has also indicated a desire to keep the dividend at the same level for fiscal year 2027. Morgan Stanley noted that this stable dividend yield could provide some support for the stock price, even as the company faces a challenging outlook.

Conclusion#

In summary, Morgan Stanley's bearish perspective on Honda's stock is primarily driven by the automaker's revised forecasts and increased losses in the electric vehicle market. Investors should remain aware of these developments as they could influence Honda's stock performance in the near future.