TSX Gains Amid Global Tensions#

Canada’s main stock index, the S&P/TSX composite, increased by 0.24% on Tuesday, reaching 33,270.00. This rise comes as U.S. President Trump suggests that the ongoing conflict in Iran may be nearing its end, although uncertainty still looms over the situation.

Market Recovery#

On Monday, the TSX had already shown signs of recovery, ending up by 0.3% at 33,189.32 after a dip that brought it to its lowest level since early February. Trump's comments, made during a speech at his golf club in Florida, indicated that he expects the conflict to conclude soon. However, he also warned of potential further U.S. military actions if Iran attempts to disrupt oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial route for global oil transport.

U.S. Market Reactions#

The uncertainty surrounding the Iran conflict has also affected U.S. markets. The benchmark S&P 500 index fell by 0.2% to 6,783.01 points, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite remained nearly unchanged at 22,690.71 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average saw a slight decrease, closing at 47,728.86 points. Market fluctuations were influenced by fears of a prolonged military campaign, which were later tempered by hopes for a resolution.

Ongoing Conflict and Oil Prices#

Trump's remarks included threats to escalate military actions, particularly against Iran's new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei. Iran has asserted that it will not allow any oil to pass through the Strait if U.S. and Israeli attacks continue. In response to the conflict, oil prices surged, reaching approximately $120 a barrel, nearing their highest levels since 2022. The situation remains volatile as both Iran and Israel continue military operations, adding to the uncertainty in global markets.